nsxtasy wrote:MikeL wrote:It's a small sample size, to be sure. But boy is it disheartening to hear the exact community restaurants exist to serve say they're prepared to abandon restaurants.
Well, I didn't hear anyone say they would "abandon" restaurants entirely if and when the pandemic is over, but they might reduce their frequency of dining out.
While I've seen the same effect on my budget of not dining out, I'd be happy to return to doing so with the same frequency as before. Just not as long as there's a non-zero chance of contracting a life-threatening disease by doing so. And I expect that the number and variety of restaurant choices will be diminished by the time this is over, which could affect how often I do so.
I am a Cincinnati native and I have friends and family who work or have worked at P&G. And yes, I am from a P&G family. When I was 10, if you asked me about Colgate, I would have thought you were talking about a college, not toothpaste as the only toothpastes I ever saw were Crest and Gleem.
I remember a conversation that I participated in with a lot of P&G folks back in 2008. At that time, there was a trend that a lot of people were leaving the most popular brands (Tide, etc.) for less expensive brands (i.e., Purex). Most of them were very confident that when the economy recovered, people would be back. I was skeptical. There are a lot of people who decided in 2008 to check places like Aldi out or who started buying Purex to save money who decided that they liked the less expensive brand. Did you notice that ten years later, there is a Tide Simple which is priced much closer to Purex and other less expensive brands? P&G has spent years trying to regain market share in some of their most profitable brands.
When this whole situation settles in three month or two years depending on who you listen to, I do not know what is going to happen. My crystal ball is cracked and out of commission. However, I will make the following predictions:
1) Some restaurants formats will be toast. How do you operate a buffet format at a time when there is an infectious disease? This crisis is living proof that you cannot trust adults to follow the same sanitation standards that most of us were taught in 3rd grade?
2) Many people out there have not had a steady paycheck in weeks and are relying on UI. At the current time, that may be equal or greater than their usual pay. However, when that ends, the average person will not have the level of disposable income that they have had in the past.
3) In Arizona, we have another two or three state mandated minimum wage increases in the coming years. I think that will accelerate the closure of a number of independents that are still open. The significant price increases we have seen in "Sit down" restaurants has already caused quite a lot of closures and gradual trend toward the fast casual restaurants where you order at the counter and the food is dropped off to you like Culvers or El Pollo Loco.
4) There are a lot of great options out there in the supermarket sector. Locally, I can walk into one of the Mexican groceries and sit down to a 1/2 gallon of Caldo de res with tortillas for $6.50 or I can head to the restaurant and pay $12. The former will take me 20 minutes; the latter 45. Cardenas Market, a SoCal Mexican grocery, has recently come into a market with a Mexican version of HyVee's fresh food selection. Kroger could do something similar BUT outside of their "SHOW" stores in Cincinnati, they never make a commitment to make the prepared foods work/
5) In addition to the hot food you can get in supermarkets, look at the number of "cook at home options" that all the places are using. While they are very grossly overpriced to me, my neighbors get them and are really impressed. As expensive as they are, they are about half the price of eating out.
6) I do not want to make this yet another tipping thread BUT some people locally believe that since servers have received a very substantial increase in wages over the past three years (which is now built into the price), why are we still pushed to tip 20-25%. I have heard this from a number of people in the past two years, including people in the industry.
7) A lot of restaurants have NOT kept up with the times. While I live in the Tucson area, I have to admit that I have only eaten in a traditional Mexican sit-down restaurant once in the last two years. I like Mexican food. However, I do not like the fact that to order an entree at a lot of these places, I have to get dried out rice and pinto beans in some form. I do not find that at a lot of the fast casual places.